71 messages in com.googlegroups.android-challenge[android-challenge] Re: Challengemete...| From | Sent On | Attachments |
|---|---|---|
| Philip | 08 Apr 2008 03:14 | |
| Philip | 08 Apr 2008 03:18 | |
| Incognito | 08 Apr 2008 13:06 | |
| Incognito | 08 Apr 2008 13:10 | |
| Peli | 08 Apr 2008 13:14 | |
| Philip | 08 Apr 2008 13:33 | |
| Peli | 08 Apr 2008 13:49 | |
| tomgibara | 08 Apr 2008 14:32 | |
| Peli | 08 Apr 2008 15:07 | |
| Dan Morrill | 08 Apr 2008 16:44 | |
| Incognito | 08 Apr 2008 16:45 | |
| Philip | 08 Apr 2008 16:50 | |
| Muthu Ramadoss | 08 Apr 2008 23:17 | |
| Incognito | 08 Apr 2008 23:33 | |
| Philip | 09 Apr 2008 01:56 | |
| Hielko | 09 Apr 2008 02:43 | |
| Peli | 09 Apr 2008 02:45 | |
| Philip | 09 Apr 2008 02:58 | |
| Muthu Ramadoss | 09 Apr 2008 03:10 | |
| Muthu Ramadoss | 09 Apr 2008 03:37 | |
| Peli | 09 Apr 2008 03:41 | |
| Peli | 09 Apr 2008 03:43 | |
| Philip | 09 Apr 2008 04:56 | |
| Peli | 09 Apr 2008 05:49 | |
| Muthu Ramadoss | 09 Apr 2008 05:50 | |
| Muthu Ramadoss | 09 Apr 2008 06:03 | |
| Peli | 09 Apr 2008 06:04 | |
| Incognito | 09 Apr 2008 06:36 | |
| Muthu Ramadoss | 09 Apr 2008 07:29 | |
| John P. | 09 Apr 2008 09:23 | |
| Biosopher | 09 Apr 2008 09:48 | |
| Biosopher | 09 Apr 2008 10:20 | |
| Peli | 09 Apr 2008 11:43 | |
| Biosopher | 09 Apr 2008 11:51 | |
| j | 09 Apr 2008 22:14 | |
| Muthu Ramadoss | 09 Apr 2008 22:20 | |
| Satyajit | 10 Apr 2008 06:26 | |
| Philip | 10 Apr 2008 14:32 | |
| Incognito | 10 Apr 2008 14:38 | |
| Philip | 10 Apr 2008 14:44 | |
| haxhaxa | 10 Apr 2008 14:56 | |
| Michael Rueger | 10 Apr 2008 14:59 | |
| Philip | 10 Apr 2008 15:02 | |
| Incognito | 10 Apr 2008 15:18 | |
| Dan Morrill | 10 Apr 2008 21:10 | |
| Muthu Ramadoss | 11 Apr 2008 01:47 | |
| Biosopher | 11 Apr 2008 08:32 | |
| Chris | 11 Apr 2008 09:10 | |
| Incognito | 11 Apr 2008 12:30 | |
| nirdroid | 11 Apr 2008 16:36 | |
| Peli | 12 Apr 2008 00:21 | |
| cadlg | 15 Apr 2008 09:35 | |
| luckydroid | 16 Apr 2008 23:42 | |
| luckydroid | 16 Apr 2008 23:50 | |
| Hielko | 17 Apr 2008 01:57 | |
| luckydroid | 17 Apr 2008 09:40 | |
| John P. | 17 Apr 2008 10:53 | |
| Muthu Ramadoss | 17 Apr 2008 11:29 | |
| luckydroid | 17 Apr 2008 13:48 | |
| luckydroid | 17 Apr 2008 13:51 | |
| Incognito | 17 Apr 2008 15:06 | |
| jalopy | 17 Apr 2008 22:58 | |
| Muthu Ramadoss | 17 Apr 2008 23:07 | |
| Peli | 17 Apr 2008 23:53 | |
| Muthu Ramadoss | 18 Apr 2008 04:26 | |
| Peli | 18 Apr 2008 04:47 | |
| Incognito | 18 Apr 2008 08:17 | |
| j | 18 Apr 2008 09:03 | |
| luckydroid | 18 Apr 2008 17:48 | |
| Muthu Ramadoss | 18 Apr 2008 23:28 | |
| Peli | 19 Apr 2008 00:11 |
| Subject: | [android-challenge] Re: Challengemeter: DISCUSS![]() |
|---|---|
| From: | Muthu Ramadoss (muth...@gmail.com) |
| Date: | 04/09/2008 05:50:10 AM |
| List: | com.googlegroups.android-challenge |
With close to 9000 developers registered in android-developers forum, say 10% will actually submit. My NEW prediction - 900.
Peli wrote:
I think the page I mentioned ( http://code.google.com/android/adc_judging.html ) was added very late in the game. I only found it recently. It carries the following date at the bottom of the page: Build m5-rc15d - 03 Apr 2008 16:19, but so do other pages that are older. To be fair, I don't know when this page was added exactly. It may have been there for a while, without me noticing it. (If someone had seen that page already a month or two ago, please let me know!)
But in case it was really only added a week or two ago, the people who wrote the page had insight into the actual number of submissions so far, and based on that it made sense to introduce a phase I that is nowhere mentioned in the original ADC terms and conditions.
It is also interesting that they did not introduce more phases (like reduce the number first to 1000 entries, then to 200, and finally to 50 - which would have indicated thousands of submissions...).
So to get back to the claim above, if one estimates 100+ submissions or 100-1000 this would be far better than the number suggested in "the most accurate submission count tool", with 300 (*) being an even closer guess for not completely trivial apps :-) At least, that is my personal guess - others may guess differently. ;-)
Peli
(*) Note: 300 ~ sqrt(100*1000) also happens to be the geometric mean for the reasonable range of 100 to 1000 submissions.
On Apr 9, 1:56 pm, Philip <phil...@gmail.com> wrote:
On Apr 9, 1:41 pm, Peli <peli...@googlemail.com> wrote:
The point is, if the number of submissions was 67, there was no need to preselect the first 100... (regardless of whether this is a nice number or not).
My point was that the number 100 was picked not based on any preliminary estimates or dynamics of the submission process.
Philip
-- Thanks.
Muthu Ramadoss http://mobeegal.in http://androidrocks.in http://intellibitz.com http://twitter.com/intellibitz http://linkedin.com/in/tellibitz http://slideshare.net/intellibitz http://groups.google.com/group/android-chennai +91 44 22476750
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